Suppose he succeeds, as in markets start to side with him. What then?
So SV will win and CSW will have enough power to materialize his threats. Until the next scheduled HF, or before. With a big part of the community splitted, BSV will lost support.
Depends. If CSW materialize some of his threats, that's difficult because it will become just a permissioned coin. But of course, it can win and become Bitcoin de facto in some years.